85% cross-market sharp

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Proven political bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.07M profit is taking a meaningful No position on a relatively quiet MO-01 nomination market while also trading the related event.
Total
$9,942
Trades
2
Win Rate
83%
Wallet P&L
+$1,239,043
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.07M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market political trader, active across 41 events and $598K in similar bets.
- The No buy is large for this market, equal to about 55% of the past day’s volume.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 57¢
Detected August 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM