Part of: MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $34,343.

Categories: Elections, Politics, Primaries, primary elections, House Primary, Missouri Primary, Democratic Primary, August 4 Primaries, US Election

Notable Trades

85% cross-market sharp

Proven political bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.07M profit is taking a meaningful No position on a relatively quiet MO-01 nomination market while also trading the related event.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.07M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market political trader, active across 41 events and $598K in similar bets.
The No buy is large for this market, equal to about 55% of the past day’s volume.

$9,942 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

84% winner backs Wesley Bell

A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is positioning for Wesley Bell, alongside strong recent market momentum.

This bettor has won 84% of 170 resolved positions and earned $1.13M in profits.
The trade supports Yes at an effective 53¢ entry, while the market has risen 15.5% in one day.
The wallet has traded across 50 events and 67 markets, indicating an experienced repeat trader rather than a one-off bet.

$1,830 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

85% cross-market sharp

Proven political bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.07M profit is taking a meaningful No position on a relatively quiet MO-01 nomination market while also trading the related event.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.07M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market political trader, active across 41 events and $598K in similar bets.
The No buy is large for this market, equal to about 55% of the past day’s volume.

$7,906 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

84% winner backs Wesley Bell

A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is positioning for Wesley Bell, alongside strong recent market momentum.

This bettor has won 84% of 170 resolved positions and earned $1.13M in profits.
The trade supports Yes at an effective 53¢ entry, while the market has risen 15.5% in one day.
The wallet has traded across 50 events and 67 markets, indicating an experienced repeat trader rather than a one-off bet.

$6,014 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

84% winner backs Wesley Bell

A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is positioning for Wesley Bell, alongside strong recent market momentum.

This bettor has won 84% of 170 resolved positions and earned $1.13M in profits.
The trade supports Yes at an effective 53¢ entry, while the market has risen 15.5% in one day.
The wallet has traded across 50 events and 67 markets, indicating an experienced repeat trader rather than a one-off bet.

$1,892 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

84% winner backs Wesley Bell

A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is positioning for Wesley Bell, alongside strong recent market momentum.

This bettor has won 84% of 170 resolved positions and earned $1.13M in profits.
The trade supports Yes at an effective 53¢ entry, while the market has risen 15.5% in one day.
The wallet has traded across 50 events and 67 markets, indicating an experienced repeat trader rather than a one-off bet.

$1,131 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

85% cross-market sharp

Proven political bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.07M profit is taking a meaningful No position on a relatively quiet MO-01 nomination market while also trading the related event.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.07M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market political trader, active across 41 events and $598K in similar bets.
The No buy is large for this market, equal to about 55% of the past day’s volume.

$5,629 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0x44c1...ebc1 — Outcome 10418392, $46,558 (60% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10418392, $28,731
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 10418392, $12,532
0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 10418392, $9,500 (72% win rate)
0x819f...f3e7 — Outcome 10418392, $6,507
0x011f...1122 — Outcome 10418392, $3,500 (39% win rate)
0x1682...26ca — Outcome 10418392, $1,790 (68% win rate)
0x6b13...f125 — Outcome 10418392, $1,156
0x4178...fbcb — Outcome 10418392, $1,059
0x4526...7a45 — Outcome 10418392, $1,000 (77% win rate)

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Panama Croatia corners stay low

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El-Sayed will lose Wayne County

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Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

ResolvedMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner$34,343 tracked7 signalsElectionsPoliticsPrimariesprimary electionsHouse PrimaryMissouri PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryAugust 4 PrimariesUS Election

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Price History — “Yes”

102¢

78¢

54¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction