Sharp bettor scaling into No
A by-election for the Western Australia state legislative constituency of Secret Harbour is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Western Australian Electoral Commission (https://www.elections.wa.gov.au/).
A proven sharp bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge added a large No position in an extremely thin market before the price moved from 31% to 50%.
Total
$1,062
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$16,540
Analysis
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $6,722, while buying at average odds of 41%.
- They bought $1,062 of No in a market with only $106 total volume and roughly $2,337 liquidity.
- The No price has since risen from 31¢ to about 50¢, reinforcing the timing of the position.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 31¢
Detected August 4, 2026 at 5:43 PM