91% winner scales into Yes

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A highly active serial cross-market trader with a 91% win rate is adding $5,200 to an already large Yes position in a relatively thin market.
Total
$5,200
Trades
2
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$26,467
Analysis
- This bettor has won 91% of 158 resolved trades and is up about $10,070 lifetime.
- They added $5,200 to Yes at 82–84¢, bringing their existing position to roughly $24,715 invested.
- The buys represented most of the market’s reported 24-hour volume, while Yes has risen 7.5% over the past week.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 83¢
Detected August 4, 2026 at 5:43 PM