Sharp trader buys Yes cheaply
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A highly profitable serial trader effectively bought Yes at 11¢, followed by a sharp 30-point rise in the market’s Yes price.
Total
$7,559
Trades
1
Win Rate
83%
Wallet P&L
+$1,239,043
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $1.17 million lifetime.
- Selling No at 89¢ was equivalent to buying Yes at roughly 11¢; Yes has since risen to 41%.
- The wallet has traded across 56 events and 77 markets, with another position in this event supporting the thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 11¢
Detected August 5, 2026 at 2:33 AM