Serial trader scales into No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A serial cross-market trader added to an existing No position during a 208x volume spike and major repricing, though their historical edge is modest.
Total
$2,707
Trades
1
Win Rate
65%
Wallet P&L
+$275,701
Analysis
- The wallet added $2,707 to No at 56¢, reinforcing an existing position now worth roughly 76¢.
- Trading activity spiked to 208x its historical average, while the market repriced sharply toward No.
- This trader has 323 resolved bets and is up $253,598, but a 64% win rate makes the signal supportive rather than definitive.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 56¢
Detected August 5, 2026 at 2:45 AM