Smart Money SignalScore: 4.3

Serial trader scaling into No

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

A profitable serial trader added to an existing No position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the trader's win rate does not demonstrate a clear pricing edge.

Total

$2,530

Trades

Win Rate

68%

Wallet P&L

+$96,003

Analysis

This trader is up $146,852 across 1,710 resolved bets with a 68% win rate.
The $2,530 No purchase adds to an existing position as market activity surged to 1,670 times its historical average.
The entry was 84¢, implying the trader values No at roughly 94¢ or higher, but this is an addition rather than a fresh position.

Copy Trade

Buy No at 84¢

Elections Politics US Election Primaries primary elections Democratic Primary Michigan Primary Senate Primary August 4 Primaries

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Detected August 5, 2026 at 3:16 AM