Sharp serial trader backing No
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge sold Yes at 60-61%, signaling meaningful conviction on No.
Total
$5,032
Trades
2
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$1,083,255
Analysis
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and has made $1.24 million on $14.3 million invested.
- The wallet has traded 56 events and 77 markets, indicating a seasoned cross-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Yes at 60-61% is equivalent to buying No around 40%, while Yes has since fallen to 55%.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 40¢
Detected August 6, 2026 at 10:26 AM