Part of: South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $96,595.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, deprec USA Election, Senate Primary, South Carolina, primary elections, Republican Primary, Lindsey Graham, US Election, August 11 Primaries, USA Election
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor backs No
A highly profitable bettor with a 70% win rate and nearly $1M in lifetime profits is making a meaningful No bet while expressing the same view across two event markets.
- This bettor has won 70% of 111 resolved trades and is up nearly $960,000 lifetime.
- They placed a $4,739 No bet at 34¢ and have put $23,466 behind the same event thesis across two markets.
- The No price has risen as the market fell 23.9% over the past week, supporting the bearish positioning.
$4,739 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Three-wallet No conviction cluster
Three wallets concentrated $14.1K on No, including a large add to an existing position, while the market has fallen sharply and a serial cross-market trader participated.
- Three wallets put $14,101 behind No, including an $11,860 purchase at 42¢.
- The No price has risen as Yes fell 31.7% over the past week, corroborating the one-sided flow.
- One participating wallet trades across 28 events with a 76% win rate, though its overall P&L is negative.
$14,101 on No
Sharp bettor buys Yes
A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of 170 resolved trades and is up $1.12M lifetime.
- The entry is a fresh $1,946 Yes position at 71¢, near the current 72% market price.
- The wallet has traded across 46 events and 61 markets, indicating a consistent, experienced approach.
$5,054 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp bettor buys Yes
A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of 170 resolved trades and is up $1.12M lifetime.
- The entry is a fresh $1,946 Yes position at 71¢, near the current 72% market price.
- The wallet has traded across 46 events and 61 markets, indicating a consistent, experienced approach.
$5,301 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Four-wallet bearish exit cluster
Four experienced wallets coordinated $21.7K in Yes exits, coinciding with an 11.2-point daily decline and supported by a serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate.
- Four wallets sold $21,746 of Yes shares around 81¢–88¢, signaling coordinated downside conviction despite the market still pricing Yes at 78%.
- The market has fallen 11.2 percentage points over the past day following the selling.
- One participant has traded across 128 events with an 86% win rate, while another has 965 wins in 1,125 resolved bets.
$21,746 on No
Seven-wallet cluster backs Yes
A seven-wallet funded cluster added nearly $4.7K to Yes alongside a sharp price rise, with support from profitable and high-win-rate traders despite some existing positions.
- Seven linked wallets share a funder, while three of them added $4,679 to Yes in the same window.
- The market moved 18.6 percentage points in one day, reinforcing the direction of the coordinated buying.
- One participating bettor wins 81% of 112 resolved trades, and another is up $59,120 lifetime.
$4,679 on Yes
Sharp bettor adds to No position
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and 42-point edge is adding to a substantial No position at 30¢.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,427 resolved positions and earned $754,059 in profit.
- The wallet is adding $2,000 to an existing $16,369 No position, signaling continued conviction.
- The 30¢ entry implies the trader values No at considerably more than its current market price.
$1,610 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial trader buys Yes
A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate and substantial edge bought $7,226 of Yes at 42¢ in a politically relevant market.
- This bettor has won 80% of 201 resolved bets and is up $3.86 million.
- The wallet has traded across 157 events and is flagged with a 27% edge over implied odds.
- A fresh $7,226 Yes position was opened at 42¢, while the market has since risen to 47%.
$7,226 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp serial trader backing No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge sold Yes at 60-61%, signaling meaningful conviction on No.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and has made $1.24 million on $14.3 million invested.
- The wallet has traded 56 events and 77 markets, indicating a seasoned cross-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Yes at 60-61% is equivalent to buying No around 40%, while Yes has since fallen to 55%.
$5,032 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp bettor buys Yes
A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of 170 resolved trades and is up $1.12M lifetime.
- The entry is a fresh $1,946 Yes position at 71¢, near the current 72% market price.
- The wallet has traded across 46 events and 61 markets, indicating a consistent, experienced approach.
$3,665 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
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