Serial trader adds large No position
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A serial cross-market trader made a large additional No bet in an extremely thin market, though their historical results do not show a clear pricing edge.
Total
$1,749
Trades
1
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
-$45,605
Analysis
- This trader put $1,749 into No in a market with only about $1,785 in total volume.
- The wallet has traded across 91 events and 99 markets, giving the position broader context than a one-off bet.
- No has since risen from the 79¢ entry to about 91¢, but the wallet’s 71% win rate at 84¢ average winning prices is not exceptionally sharp.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 79¢
Detected August 8, 2026 at 9:27 AM