Serial sharp bettor leaning No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate is net positioned toward No, though the simultaneous Yes purchase makes the thesis less clean.
Total
$2,765
Trades
2
Win Rate
83%
Wallet P&L
+$1,239,043
Analysis
- This bettor has won 83% of 189 resolved trades and earned $1.24 million in profit.
- The wallet has made $2,732 in No purchases versus $1,561 in Yes purchases, leaving a meaningful net No position.
- The market is relatively thin, with $3,256 in 24-hour volume and a 7-point spread, so this sizable trade stands out.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 58¢
Detected August 9, 2026 at 2:59 AM