Early bettor caught 60-point repricing
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A $2,063 bet at 38% preceded a dramatic repricing to 98%, making this a notable early directional trade despite the wallet's weak historical record.
Total
$2,063
Trades
1
Win Rate
36%
Wallet P&L
+$115,758
Analysis
- The wallet bought Yes at 38¢, and the market has since surged to 98¢.
- A $2,063 position represented most of the detected trading volume and coincided with a 25-point price jump.
- The trader's 36% win rate is weak, so the price move—not the wallet's track record—is the main reason to study this trade.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 38¢
Detected August 9, 2026 at 5:37 AM