Serial trader makes concentrated No bet

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
A serial cross-market trader with 1,131 resolved bets placed a concentrated $3,018 No position in a thin political market, and No has since risen from 50% to 60%.
Total
$3,018
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$120,591
Analysis
- This bettor has won 74% of 1,131 resolved trades and is up $141,342 lifetime.
- The $3,018 bet represented nearly half of the detected $6,191 in 24-hour volume in this relatively thin market.
- No rose from the 50¢ entry to about 60%, reinforcing the trader's direction so far.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 50¢
Detected August 12, 2026 at 1:44 AM