Multi-wallet No cluster after Yes surge
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Three wallets committed $9,100 to No amid a major Yes price surge, with one participant showing an 86% historical win rate and serial cross-market activity.
Total
$9,100
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets placed $9,100 on No while Yes surged 54.5% in one day, creating a notable contrarian position.
- One participant wins 86% of 659 resolved bets and has traded across 30 events, though its sell appears partly related to profit-taking.
- The No entries were around 44–50¢, implying the traders see David Crowley’s chance below the current 59% Yes price.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 44¢
Detected August 12, 2026 at 1:51 AM