Proven serial bettor buys No
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial positive edge is taking a contrarian $4,354 position on No.
Total
$4,354
Trades
1
Win Rate
84%
Wallet P&L
+$1,089,899
Analysis
- This bettor has won 83% of 197 resolved trades and earned about $1.19 million.
- The wallet has traded across 61 events and 85 markets, indicating a repeatable research-driven approach rather than a one-off wager.
- The $4,354 No position at 44¢ goes against the market's recent 40.5% Yes rally, making the contrarian timing notable.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 44¢
Detected August 13, 2026 at 6:26 PM