92% winner leads linked No cluster
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
A proven 92% win-rate bettor is adding to a No position alongside two linked wallets, creating a meaningful coordinated view despite existing hedges.
Total
$7,828
Trades
4
Analysis
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $197,239, with a 32-point edge over average implied odds.
- Three linked wallets committed $7,828 to No, including the sharp bettor adding near 61¢.
- The No position is gaining support while the market still prices it at roughly 56%, leaving room if the cluster is right.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 61¢
Detected August 14, 2026 at 1:31 AM