Profitable bettor makes oversized No bet
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
A highly profitable, extensively active bettor made a $4,092 No bet that exceeded the market's entire 24-hour volume, though the signal is moderate rather than exceptional.
Total
$4,677
Trades
1
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
+$1,088,109
Analysis
- This bettor is up $1.14 million across 1,169 resolved trades with a 72% win rate.
- The $4,092 No purchase represented 168% of the market's 24-hour volume.
- The trade aligns with positioning in another market from the same event, suggesting a broader thesis rather than an isolated wager.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 79¢
Detected August 16, 2026 at 5:35 PM