Part of: Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner

Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,768.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Governor Primary, Republican Primary, Wyoming Primary, August 18 Primaries, US Election

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor makes oversized No bet

A highly profitable, extensively active bettor made a $4,092 No bet that exceeded the market's entire 24-hour volume, though the signal is moderate rather than exceptional.

This bettor is up $1.14 million across 1,169 resolved trades with a 72% win rate.
The $4,092 No purchase represented 168% of the market's 24-hour volume.
The trade aligns with positioning in another market from the same event, suggesting a broader thesis rather than an isolated wager.

$4,677 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable bettor makes oversized No bet

A highly profitable, extensively active bettor made a $4,092 No bet that exceeded the market's entire 24-hour volume, though the signal is moderate rather than exceptional.

This bettor is up $1.14 million across 1,169 resolved trades with a 72% win rate.
The $4,092 No purchase represented 168% of the market's 24-hour volume.
The trade aligns with positioning in another market from the same event, suggesting a broader thesis rather than an isolated wager.

$4,092 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10026859, $31,120
0x9648...6825 — Outcome 19570193, $12,774 (69% win rate)
0x2b9d...adc0 — Outcome 19570193, $2,729 (52% win rate)
0xdd5d...1614 — Outcome 19570193, $1,743 (79% win rate)
0x6291...cc47 — Outcome 19570193, $600
0x808a...ef3f — Outcome 19570193, $362 (71% win rate)
0x6d65...3781 — Outcome 19570193, $299
0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 19570193, $252
0xf6c6...7d80 — Outcome 19570193, $201
0x39fc...e2f2 — Outcome 19570193, $176 (59% win rate)

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Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

ResolvedWyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner$8,768 tracked2 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsGovernor PrimaryRepublican PrimaryWyoming PrimaryAugust 18 PrimariesUS Election

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Price History — “No”

87¢

78¢

69¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction