Serial trader scaling into No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A highly active trader added $6,851 to an existing No position in an exceptionally thin market, though their 71% record does not clearly beat their typical 84% entry odds.
Total
$6,851
Trades
2
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
-$45,605
Analysis
- This trader has made 1,291 resolved bets across 104 events, giving the position meaningful historical context.
- The $6,851 purchase was more than 50 times the market’s $134 in 24-hour volume.
- They added to an existing No position near 87¢ as the market sits at roughly 88% No.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected August 17, 2026 at 8:25 AM