Profitable bettor scaling into No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition. Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify. An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn. For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify. If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
A profitable bettor with a 75% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding nearly $3,000 to No in a relatively thin market.
Total
$2,972
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$17,551
Analysis
- This bettor has won 75% of 16 resolved trades and is up $11,610, while buying at odds averaging 47%.
- They added nearly $3,000 to No at 73¢ in a market with only $7,414 of 24-hour volume.
- No has since risen to roughly 88%, supporting the bettor’s direction despite the position already being established.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 73¢
Detected August 17, 2026 at 7:05 PM