Four-wallet bearish exit cluster
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Four experienced wallets coordinated $21.7K in Yes exits, coinciding with an 11.2-point daily decline and supported by a serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate.
Total
$21,746
Trades
6
Analysis
- Four wallets sold $21,746 of Yes shares around 81¢–88¢, signaling coordinated downside conviction despite the market still pricing Yes at 78%.
- The market has fallen 11.2 percentage points over the past day following the selling.
- One participant has traded across 128 events with an 86% win rate, while another has 965 wins in 1,125 resolved bets.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 17¢
Detected August 19, 2026 at 9:49 PM