Serial macro bettor buys NO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
A profitable serial cross-market trader added a $7.3k No position on a geopolitically meaningful market, nearly matching the scan window's 24h volume and aligning with recent No momentum.
Total
$1,487
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$67,903
Analysis
- This bettor has traded across 34 events and is up $46k lifetime.
- Their $7.3k No buy was nearly a full day’s volume in the signal window.
- The market has moved toward No over the past week, and this trade follows that momentum.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 62¢
Detected August 22, 2026 at 3:29 PM