Serial sharp bettor buys No
A by-election for the Western Australia state legislative constituency of Secret Harbour is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Western Australian Electoral Commission (https://www.elections.wa.gov.au/).
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and over $1 million in P&L made a sizable contrarian No position in a thinly traded election market.
Total
$1,006
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$1,512,721
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of 228 resolved trades and is up $1.06 million lifetime.
- The $1,006 No purchase is meaningful in a market with only $7,949 in 24-hour volume and a wide spread.
- The trader has positioned across 99 markets and 73 events, indicating an established repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 72¢
Detected August 27, 2026 at 8:15 AM