90% serial bettor scaling into Yes
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
A highly active serial cross-market trader with a 90% win rate added $3,666 to an existing Yes position, though the track record is less compelling because wins average 87% entry odds.
Total
$3,666
Trades
2
Win Rate
90%
Wallet P&L
+$760,877
Analysis
- This bettor has won 90% of 243 resolved trades and is up $748,776 lifetime.
- They added $3,666 to an existing Yes position, buying at 75¢ and 81¢ as the market moved higher.
- The purchases represented more than twice the recent 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in a relatively quiet political market.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 77¢
Detected August 28, 2026 at 2:50 PM