Part of: Paraná Governor Election Winner
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,718.
Categories: Global Elections, Main Election, Politics, Elections, Brazil
Notable Trades
92% winner adds to Yes
A highly active bettor with a 92% historical win rate added $5,519 to an already substantial Yes position in a thinly traded election market.
- This bettor has won 173 of 188 resolved trades, with $28,081 in reported profit across 43 events.
- They added $5,519 at 84¢ despite already having $13,762 invested in Yes, signaling increased conviction.
- The trade represented roughly 95% of the market's recent trading volume, making the entry unusually consequential.
$1,077 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
92% winner adds to Yes
A highly active bettor with a 92% historical win rate added $5,519 to an already substantial Yes position in a thinly traded election market.
- This bettor has won 173 of 188 resolved trades, with $28,081 in reported profit across 43 events.
- They added $5,519 at 84¢ despite already having $13,762 invested in Yes, signaling increased conviction.
- The trade represented roughly 95% of the market's recent trading volume, making the entry unusually consequential.
$1,203 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
92% winner adds to Yes
A highly active bettor with a 92% historical win rate added $5,519 to an already substantial Yes position in a thinly traded election market.
- This bettor has won 173 of 188 resolved trades, with $28,081 in reported profit across 43 events.
- They added $5,519 at 84¢ despite already having $13,762 invested in Yes, signaling increased conviction.
- The trade represented roughly 95% of the market's recent trading volume, making the entry unusually consequential.
$3,378 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
92% winner adds to Yes
A highly active bettor with a 92% historical win rate added $5,519 to an already substantial Yes position in a thinly traded election market.
- This bettor has won 173 of 188 resolved trades, with $28,081 in reported profit across 43 events.
- They added $5,519 at 84¢ despite already having $13,762 invested in Yes, signaling increased conviction.
- The trade represented roughly 95% of the market's recent trading volume, making the entry unusually consequential.
$2,876 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
92% winner adds to Yes
A highly active bettor with a 92% historical win rate added $5,519 to an already substantial Yes position in a thinly traded election market.
- This bettor has won 173 of 188 resolved trades, with $28,081 in reported profit across 43 events.
- They added $5,519 at 84¢ despite already having $13,762 invested in Yes, signaling increased conviction.
- The trade represented roughly 95% of the market's recent trading volume, making the entry unusually consequential.
$5,519 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
90% serial bettor scaling into Yes
A highly active serial cross-market trader with a 90% win rate added $3,666 to an existing Yes position, though the track record is less compelling because wins average 87% entry odds.
- This bettor has won 90% of 243 resolved trades and is up $748,776 lifetime.
- They added $3,666 to an existing Yes position, buying at 75¢ and 81¢ as the market moved higher.
- The purchases represented more than twice the recent 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in a relatively quiet political market.
$3,666 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
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