Serial bettor scales into No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A serial cross-market bettor with 413 resolved trades is adding $7,157 to an existing No position in a relatively thin market, though the 76% win rate does not clearly exceed the 81% average winning price.
Total
$7,157
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$122,107
Analysis
- This serial trader has participated across 66 events and 95 markets, with 413 resolved trades and a 76% win rate.
- The $7,157 purchase was about 330% of reported 24-hour volume, adding meaningful conviction to an existing No position.
- The trader already has $9,260 invested in No at 78¢, so this is an increase in an established view rather than a fresh position.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 78¢
Detected September 3, 2026 at 8:33 AM