Four-wallet coordinated Yes reversal

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Four coordinated wallets, including two sharing a funder, effectively bought Yes with $11,094 of No exits amid a major volume spike, though one wallet appears to be taking profit.
Total
$11,094
Trades
4
Analysis
- Four wallets collectively exited $11,094 of No at 57–58¢, equivalent to buying Yes around 42–43¢.
- The trades represented over half of available liquidity and coincided with a reported 2,989× volume spike.
- Two wallets share a funder, but one trader had already held and closed a No position, so some flow may be profit-taking rather than fresh conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 43¢
Detected September 4, 2026 at 3:54 AM