Sharp trader backs No in thin market
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election. If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate placed a large contrarian No position in a thin market, suggesting meaningful conviction.
Total
$3,801
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$1,458,555
Analysis
- This bettor has won 83% of 249 resolved trades and earned $1.29M in profit.
- The $3,801 position was over eight times the market's 24-hour volume, making it a strong directional bet.
- The trader has participated across 79 events and 106 markets, indicating an established, repeatable strategy rather than a one-off trade.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 27¢
Detected September 6, 2026 at 1:13 PM