Part of: Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,196.

Categories: Germany, Politics, Elections, Saxony-Anhalt, deprec German Election, Global Elections, International Election Props

Notable Trades

Sharp trader backs No in thin market

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate placed a large contrarian No position in a thin market, suggesting meaningful conviction.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 249 resolved trades and earned $1.29M in profit.
  • The $3,801 position was over eight times the market's 24-hour volume, making it a strong directional bet.
  • The trader has participated across 79 events and 106 markets, indicating an established, repeatable strategy rather than a one-off trade.

$4,395 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp trader backs No in thin market

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate placed a large contrarian No position in a thin market, suggesting meaningful conviction.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 249 resolved trades and earned $1.29M in profit.
  • The $3,801 position was over eight times the market's 24-hour volume, making it a strong directional bet.
  • The trader has participated across 79 events and 106 markets, indicating an established, repeatable strategy rather than a one-off trade.

$3,801 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 16850187, $24,998
  2. 0xa676...1c22 Outcome 16850187, $2,000 (44% win rate)
  3. 0x01da...ea89 Outcome 16850187, $2,000 (81% win rate)
  4. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 16850187, $1,446
  5. 0x122c...fbed Outcome 16850187, $805 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x6db9...4ab5 Outcome 16850187, $359 (81% win rate)
  7. 0xf5e4...471a Outcome 16850187, $308
  8. 0x0d93...8cbe Outcome 16850187, $200 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x2213...492c Outcome 16850187, $200
  10. 0x5be3...54df Outcome 16850187, $155

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Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

ResolvedSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?$8,196 tracked2 signalsGermanyPoliticsElectionsSaxony-Anhaltdeprec German ElectionGlobal ElectionsInternational Election Props

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election. If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Price History — “Yes
99¢
80¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

5d ago

$4,395 on No at 27¢

Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

5d ago

$3,801 on No at 27¢

Related Theses