Sharp bettor scaling into No

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate made a concentrated No position while volume surged and the price moved sharply in their favor.
Total
$9,400
Trades
2
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$619,531
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of 393 resolved trades and has earned $615,294 overall.
- They invested $9,400 into No across two purchases, adding after the price rose from 68¢ to 86¢.
- The market saw a major volume spike, while this trader’s serial activity spans 32 events and 78 markets.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected September 6, 2026 at 3:05 PM