Proven serial bettor buys Yes

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is buying Yes at 46¢ in a presidential-election market.
Total
$1,300
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$1,469,966
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $1.46 million lifetime.
- The 91-event, 121-market track record shows repeated cross-market activity rather than a one-off wager.
- Buying Yes at 46¢ implies the trader sees meaningful value despite the market currently pricing it near a coin flip.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 46¢
Detected September 10, 2026 at 11:48 AM