What does this Augusto Cury prediction market measure?

It measures whether Augusto Cury finishes in third place by valid votes in the first round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election.

When does the Brazil election market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026, the date of Brazil’s first-round presidential election.

How are candidates ranked in this market?

Candidates are ranked by the number of valid votes they receive. If candidates tie, the market uses alphabetical order of their last names to determine the ranking.

What smart money activity has this market seen?

The market currently shows $1,300 in tracked smart money and one smart money signal, including a recent purchase of Yes shares by a proven serial bettor.

Part of: Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

This prediction market asks whether Augusto Cury will receive the third-most valid votes in the first round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election. The election is scheduled for October 4, 2026, and the market resolves based on official valid-vote totals, with alphabetical order used to break ties. Current market metadata shows $1,300 in tracked smart money and one recent signal.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,300.

Categories: Brazil, World, Politics, Global Elections, International Election Props

Notable Trades

Proven serial bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is buying Yes at 46¢ in a presidential-election market.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $1.46 million lifetime.
The 91-event, 121-market track record shows repeated cross-market activity rather than a one-off wager.
Buying Yes at 46¢ implies the trader sees meaningful value despite the market currently pricing it near a coin flip.

$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%