86% win-rate thesis trader

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A proven high-win-rate trader with activity across 150 events sold No here, which converts to a Yes buy at 16¢ and is worth surfacing despite only one signal because the track record is strong.
Total
$3,396
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$87,714
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 171 markets and is up $82.7k
- They trade heavily across related markets and events, with nearly $2.0M deployed overall
- Selling No at 84¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 16¢, a cheap entry for a sharp trader’s view
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 16¢
Detected April 8, 2026 at 2:06 AM