90% winner scaling into Yes
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 90% win rate is adding $2,000 to an existing Yes position in a relatively thin market, though the bettor's average winning entry price limits the strength of the demonstrated edge.
Total
$2,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$514,455
Analysis
- This bettor has won 90% of 254 resolved trades and is up $770,581 overall.
- The $2,000 purchase adds to an existing $4,416 Yes position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine entry.
- The market is relatively thin with $5,796 in 24-hour volume and a wide 7-point spread, making the sizable trade notable.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 85¢
Detected September 17, 2026 at 1:34 AM