Serial sharp bettor backs No

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate made a concentrated $7.4k No position in a thin, wide-spread market.
Total
$14,076
Trades
2
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$1,512,721
Analysis
- This bettor has won 81% of 291 resolved trades and earned $1.51M in profit while averaging 61¢ entries.
- They placed $7,442 on No at 81–82¢, representing over eight times the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
- The market is thin and has an 8-point bid-ask spread, making this unusually large position a meaningful conviction signal.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 81¢
Detected September 19, 2026 at 7:05 PM