Serial sharp with 82% win rate
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate took a meaningful position on Yes, although the subsequent partial sale weakens the conviction signal.
Total
$4,943
Trades
2
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$1,512,721
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of 294 resolved trades and is up $1.51 million.
- They traded four markets in this election event, reflecting a broader thesis rather than an isolated wager.
- The Yes position was entered at 31¢, but a later partial sale at 21¢ suggests reduced conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 31¢
Detected September 19, 2026 at 7:31 PM