Profitable serial trader adds to Yes
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is adding $4,817 to an existing large Yes position, though their 90% win rate is only modestly above their average winning entry price.
Total
$4,817
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$514,455
Analysis
- This trader is up $815,147 across 261 resolved bets and has traded across 61 events.
- They added $4,817 to an existing $27,517 Yes position, with the market near 90¢.
- Their 90% win rate is strong, though their average winning entry price of 87¢ makes the edge less decisive at this price.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 89¢
Detected September 30, 2026 at 10:56 PM