84% win-rate cross-market bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A proven 84% win-rate trader bought Yes at 46¢ ahead of a sharp move to 58% in a wide-spread geopolitical market, making this a credible signal worth watching.
Total
$1,996
Trades
1
Win Rate
87%
Wallet P&L
+$30,442
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and has a strong record across 25 events and 32 markets
- They bought Yes at 46¢ before the market jumped to 58%, showing good timing on a 25-point move
- The market still has a wide 19¢ spread and only $7.7k liquidity, so a $2.0k buy shows real conviction
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 46¢
Detected April 9, 2026 at 7:56 AM