New wallet political whale
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
A 17-hour-old wallet made a nearly $4k buy in a thin political market, overwhelming recent volume and suggesting high-conviction positioning worth watching despite no track record yet.
Total
$3,968
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
+$1
Analysis
- A 17-hour-old wallet put nearly $4,000 into one side of this market on just its third position
- This single trade was about 58x the market's prior 24-hour volume and hit a very wide order book
- The bet came in a political market that had already been moving fast, with odds up 17.5 points in a day
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 79¢
Detected April 9, 2026 at 4:19 PM