Three-wallet No-position build

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Three wallets added $15.7K to existing No positions during a 54x volume spike, with the market's No price strengthening over the past week.
Total
$15,702
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets added $15,702 to No within seconds, increasing already substantial positions.
- Trading coincided with a 54x volume spike, while No odds strengthened 21 percentage points over the past week.
- The wallets' records are mixed, so the coordinated buying and market movement are the main signals—not proven bettor skill.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 71¢
Detected October 16, 2026 at 3:00 AM