Three-wallet contrarian Yes flow

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Three wallets moved roughly $22K into Yes-equivalent exposure during a 57.9x volume spike, though their prior No positions make this look partly like exits rather than unequivocal fresh conviction.
Total
$20,221
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets traded about $22,000 toward Yes within roughly a minute, against a market that has fallen 24.5% over the past week.
- The trades coincided with a 57.9x volume spike, but all three wallets were closing prior No positions bought around 71¢, so this may be profit-taking rather than a fresh Yes bet.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 25¢
Detected October 23, 2026 at 8:05 AM