Profitable new wallet pressing NO

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
A very new wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets, is already profitable, and is adding another meaningful position in a politically relevant market at a liquid price.
Total
$1,696
Trades
1
Win Rate
93%
Wallet P&L
+$37,535
Analysis
- This 8-day-old wallet has already been flagged 7 times, with $37.7k in notable bets and $1.5k profit so far.
- It has won all 3 resolved markets so far and is now buying No at 68¢ in a major Hungary election market.
- The bet is not huge versus market liquidity, but repeated sizing from a new profitable wallet suggests real conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 68¢
Detected April 10, 2026 at 11:48 PM