Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?

This Polymarket tracks whether TISZA will win at least 130 seats in Hungary’s parliamentary election scheduled for April 12, 2026. The market resolves Yes if TISZA reaches 130 or more seats in the National Assembly, and No otherwise; if the result is still not definitive by October 31, 2026, it resolves No. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,696 in smart money on this market, with a recent alert noting a profitable new wallet pressing No.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,696.

Categories: Elections, Magyar, Politics, Hungary Election, Global Elections, Orban, Hungary, Fidesz

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet pressing NO

A very new wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets, is already profitable, and is adding another meaningful position in a politically relevant market at a liquid price.

  • This 8-day-old wallet has already been flagged 7 times, with $37.7k in notable bets and $1.5k profit so far.
  • It has won all 3 resolved markets so far and is now buying No at 68¢ in a major Hungary election market.
  • The bet is not huge versus market liquidity, but repeated sizing from a new profitable wallet suggests real conviction.

$1,696 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa527...4228 — Yes, $20,474
  2. 0x629b...995a — Yes, $19,747 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x56c9...afe7 — No, $15,612 (43% win rate)
  4. 0xf2f6...5817 — No, $13,873 (75% win rate)
  5. 0x4488...e319 — Yes, $10,642 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x29cd...972a — No, $6,694
  7. 0xc4fd...fe19 — No, $5,494 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x0288...c37a — Yes, $5,325
  9. 0xbad2...5296 — No, $4,539 (54% win rate)
  10. 0xd18a...98ae — Yes, $4,038

Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?

21h$1,696 tracked1 signalElectionsMagyarPoliticsHungary ElectionGlobal ElectionsOrbanHungaryFidesz
Yes
28¢
No
72¢

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Price History — “No”
75¢
71¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?

2h ago

$1,696 on No at 68¢

68¢→72¢↑4¢
Tisza 130 Seats Odds on Polymarket | PolySpotter