Four-wallet coordinated NO position

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Four wallets put about $20.6K on No, supported by a market volume spike and cross-market activity, making this a notable contrary position against the 68% Yes favorite.
Total
$15,796
Trades
4
Analysis
- Four wallets committed about $20,600 to No, including a Yes sale equivalent to buying No.
- The bets came in around 30–32¢ while Yes was priced near 68¢, a substantial position against the favorite.
- A serial cross-market trader in the alert has won 66% of resolved bets across 40 events, though that record is supporting context rather than proof of edge here.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 31¢
Detected October 25, 2026 at 9:05 AM