Part of: Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
24 smart money signals detected, totaling $297,729.
Categories: Serbia, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections
Notable Trades
New whale scaling into Yes
A newly created wallet added $132,000 to an existing large Yes position as market volume surged and odds rose, though it has no resolved track record.
- The wallet has invested about $310,000 in Yes, including a $132,000 add at 74–75¢.
- Trading volume spiked to 136 times its historical average as the odds rose 16% this week.
- The wallet is only about 1 hour old and has no resolved positions, so its track record is unproven.
$52,500 on Yes
Three-wallet Yes accumulation
Three wallets bought $55,891 of Yes, led by a new wallet making a repeat large bet, despite sharply falling odds and no strong proven track records.
- Three wallets bought $55,891 of Yes, with one new wallet accounting for about $52,500 in repeat purchases.
- The buying came as Yes odds fell 27.5% in a day, showing notable willingness to take the other side of the move.
- The trades averaged about 53¢, while current odds are around 45¢; the wallets have no clear record of proven edge.
$4,673 on Yes
Profitable serial trader backing Yes
A highly active, profitable trader with a large historical sample is again buying Yes and has about $10.6k positioned across two markets tied to the election.
- This trader is up $223,728 across more than 12,700 resolved bets.
- They have about $10,614 positioned across two markets tied to this election.
- The fresh Yes buy was at 69¢ as the market rose 7% over the past week.
$1,044 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial trader backing Yes
A highly active, profitable trader with a large historical sample is again buying Yes and has about $10.6k positioned across two markets tied to the election.
- This trader is up $223,728 across more than 12,700 resolved bets.
- They have about $10,614 positioned across two markets tied to this election.
- The fresh Yes buy was at 69¢ as the market rose 7% over the past week.
$1,059 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial trader backing Yes
A highly active, profitable trader with a large historical sample is again buying Yes and has about $10.6k positioned across two markets tied to the election.
- This trader is up $223,728 across more than 12,700 resolved bets.
- They have about $10,614 positioned across two markets tied to this election.
- The fresh Yes buy was at 69¢ as the market rose 7% over the past week.
$1,440 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial trader backing Yes
A highly active, profitable trader with a large historical sample is again buying Yes and has about $10.6k positioned across two markets tied to the election.
- This trader is up $223,728 across more than 12,700 resolved bets.
- They have about $10,614 positioned across two markets tied to this election.
- The fresh Yes buy was at 69¢ as the market rose 7% over the past week.
$1,417 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Four-wallet coordinated NO position
Four wallets put about $20.6K on No, supported by a market volume spike and cross-market activity, making this a notable contrary position against the 68% Yes favorite.
- Four wallets committed about $20,600 to No, including a Yes sale equivalent to buying No.
- The bets came in around 30–32¢ while Yes was priced near 68¢, a substantial position against the favorite.
- A serial cross-market trader in the alert has won 66% of resolved bets across 40 events, though that record is supporting context rather than proof of edge here.
$15,796 on No
Profitable serial trader backing Yes
A highly active, profitable trader with a large historical sample is again buying Yes and has about $10.6k positioned across two markets tied to the election.
- This trader is up $223,728 across more than 12,700 resolved bets.
- They have about $10,614 positioned across two markets tied to this election.
- The fresh Yes buy was at 69¢ as the market rose 7% over the past week.
$1,390 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial trader backing Yes
A highly active, profitable trader with a large historical sample is again buying Yes and has about $10.6k positioned across two markets tied to the election.
- This trader is up $223,728 across more than 12,700 resolved bets.
- They have about $10,614 positioned across two markets tied to this election.
- The fresh Yes buy was at 69¢ as the market rose 7% over the past week.
$1,045 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
New whale adding to Yes
A very new wallet added nearly $30,000 to an existing Yes position, while the market saw a sharp volume spike and rising odds.
- A wallet less than four hours old bought another $29,939 of Yes, on top of a $42,967 existing position.
- Trading volume spiked 42.9× above its historical average, and Yes odds have risen 9% over the past week.
$26,113 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,238,340
- 0x76a6...b1f1 — Yes, $329,244
- 0x9f89...aa66 — Yes, $276,275
- 0x94a4...6356 — Yes, $103,237 (50% win rate)
- 0x22e4...ef1c — Yes, $64,271 (59% win rate)
- 0x0826...0b32 — Yes, $40,031 (57% win rate)
- 0xc6dd...4b9f — Yes, $38,075 (70% win rate)
- 0x2061...8ec9 — Yes, $38,010 (26% win rate)
- 0x6091...c03c — Yes, $30,829
- 0xe875...6834 — Yes, $28,496
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