Profitable serial trader sells Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
A historically profitable, highly active cross-market trader made a sizable bearish position, selling about $36.6K of Yes shares despite a modest win rate relative to average winning odds.
Total
$36,588
Trades
2
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
+$667,862
Analysis
- This trader is up $665K across 289 resolved bets and has traded across 53 events.
- They sold about $36.6K of Yes at 73¢, a sizable position against Peltola winning.
- The equivalent copy trade is No near 27¢; the market’s Yes price has also fallen 4% in a day.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 27¢
Detected October 26, 2026 at 7:59 PM