Smart Money SignalScore: 4.3

Profitable serial trader sells Yes

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

A historically profitable, highly active cross-market trader made a sizable bearish position, selling about $36.6K of Yes shares despite a modest win rate relative to average winning odds.

Total

$36,588

Trades

2

Win Rate

72%

Wallet P&L

+$667,862

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 27¢

Alaska MidtermSenate ElectionsUS ElectionMidtermsPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsUnited StatesKey Senate Races
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Detected October 26, 2026 at 7:59 PM

Profitable serial trader sells Yes | PolySpotter