Large add in thin election market
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
The wallet added about $2.9k to an existing Yes position in a relatively quiet market, a meaningful conviction signal despite no clear evidence its historical win rate beats the odds it pays.
Total
$2,861
Trades
2
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$148,671
Analysis
- The bettor added about $2,900 to an existing $6,830 Yes position, showing increased conviction.
- The buys were roughly 31% of the market’s reported 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has a 75% win rate and is up $115,605, though its average winning price of 85¢ makes its edge unclear.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 84¢
Detected October 28, 2026 at 12:52 PM