Serial cross-market trader on Yes

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A serial cross-market trader sold No as Yes odds rose sharply, and the reported price move is corroborated by strong recent market momentum, though the wallet's record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.
Total
$1,191
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$180,402
Analysis
- Selling No at 28¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 72¢, alongside a 12.5% rise in Yes odds over the past day.
- This trader has placed bets across 123 events and has a long history, though their 64% win rate does not clearly beat their average winning prices.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 72¢
Detected October 30, 2026 at 5:55 PM