Smart Money SignalScore: 3.5

Profitable trader adding to No

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

A highly profitable, active trader added a substantial No position in a thinly traded market, though the wallet’s record does not clearly show an edge relative to its average winning price.

Total

$1,283

Trades

1

Win Rate

65%

Wallet P&L

+$266,661

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 88¢

IranKhameneiGeopoliticsIran RegimeU.S. x IranIran CeasefireMojtaba KhameneiStrait of Hormuz
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Detected October 31, 2026 at 1:05 PM

Profitable trader adding to No | PolySpotter