Proven event trader buying No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Surface this because a high-volume, profitable serial cross-market trader with 1,254 resolved bets is buying No on a geopolitical event market after a sharp weekly move lower.
Total
$1,136
Trades
1
Win Rate
68%
Wallet P&L
+$255,353
Analysis
- This bettor has 1,254 resolved trades, wins 66% of them, and is up about $206k lifetime.
- They trade heavily across related event markets — 313 markets across 138 events for $1.24M total.
- They bought No at 87¢ after this market fell 25 points over the past week, backing the view that a strike is still unlikely.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected April 14, 2026 at 2:14 AM